To understand the risks we face as a region, based on the climate changes we know are coming, we’ve contracted Tonkin Taylor to carry out a climate change risk assessment for the Bay of Plenty.

This involves identifying and screening potential risks (Phase 1) before carrying out a more detailed assessment (Phase 2). We are not assessing risks at a really local scale or considering emissions reductions.

Phase 1 focused on identifying potential climate change risks to the region. Information was gathered through a survey of stakeholders and tangata whenua, and a series of online and in-person workshop and hui which took place in November 2021. This phase was completed in February 2022 with the following key outputs:

  • A detailed risk workbook documenting the direct and indirect risks that were gathered through the stakeholder engagement. The workbook provides a ‘long list’ of climate risks across the region from a range of perspectives. The detailed technical assessment and rating of these risks will be undertaken in Phase 2 through further stakeholder engagement. This workbook is available on request.
  • A summary ‘He tirohanga Māori ki ngā tūraru mō te āhuarangi ki roto o Te Moana-a-Toi /Perspectives on climate change risks to Māori in the Bay of Plenty’ documenting the ideas raised through the workshop and hui around Māori perspectives of climate change risks. This document is available on request (noting this is not intended to be a comprehensive discussion of risks to Māori).

These outputs form the basis of Phase 2 (starting March 2022), which involves a detailed technical risk assessment alongside further exploration of Māori perspectives of climate change risks in the Bay of Plenty.  

Alongside our partners, this information will help us identify where we all need to focus our actions and ensure we make well informed decisions into the future. It could also be used to support any further local assessments that may be carried out by city or district councils, iwi or hapū groups and community groups. As the first climate change risk assessment for the region, it will set a baseline to collectively build upon and respond to climate change risks.

We expect the final report to be complete and publicly available by the end of 2022.